Why modern armies of Democratic countries fail to win a war?

How safe is it, to Confuse Defense with Care?

available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2236354

The correlation of state spending on pure and mixed public goods reflects the making of fundamental choices about state functions.  The statistics data and the cases are composing the picture of Jihad to destroy the Army conducted by Left politicians and by civil bureaucrats. The material collected rises question:  Are pure public good “defense” normal quality provision compatible in Long Run with heavy  spending on social sector (i.e. compatible with  mixed public goods provision)?


The case study (Protocol 1, June 8, 1977, to the Geneva Convention of 1949) shows, how “punishment for military success” strategy undermines incentives of army officers, making the military machine virtually inoperative.  Artificially abridged Army capability provides the argument for the notion “war is no solution”.  The set of the governments credibly ready to obey ratified Convention, are clearly segmented on two subsets. The 1st one includes the Governments bearing military responsibilities, military umbrella -givers, which abstained to impose all Protocol caused risks on the army officers (non-ratified – USA, Israel; ratified with strong reservations – UK, France, Germany) and the rest democratic countries – which are military umbrella takers, ratified the Protocol without significant reservations.

Statistical analysis of Great Powers military spending historical trends used to test the main hypothesis. Preliminary statistical analysis fails to reject it. We believe bureaucratic competition for the responsibilities, staff and the budget provides satisfactory explanation of this phenomena.

The paper provide us explanations for a growing number of failures of well armed and well trained armies of democratic states to win the wars.

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